Understand Probability Tree Diagrams Worksheet Edplace The tree diagram for the events 'bus being on time on monday' and 'bus being on time on tuesday' would look like this: the probability that it is on time on any day is 0.7. so the probability that it is late (i.e. not on time) on any day is 1 0.7 = 0.3. we can see that all the branches coming from a single point add up to 1. Anytime we are finding the probability of something 'and' something happening or the probability on the same path on the tree diagram, we multiply the probabilities: p(late and late) = 0.3 x 0.3 = 0.09 . if we wanted to find the probability that the bus is late on exactly one day, we have two possible paths to achieve such a scenario:.
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